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Haskell Stakes Results: How Baby Vino Upset the Favorites at 28/1

Haskell Stakes Results: How Baby Vino Upset the Favorites at 28/1

Published on: July 18, 2026

By: Miles HenryFact Checked

Baby Vino won the 2026 Haskell Stakes, going off at 28/1 (up from a 15/1 morning line), under jockey Jorge Vargas Jr. for trainer Lindsay Schultz. The win takes home the $1 million purse and locks in a “Win and You’re In” berth to the Breeders’ Cup Classic at Keeneland on October 31. Napoleon Solo, the Preakness winner making his first start since Laurel, finished second, with Iron Honor third. My published pick, Further Ado, finished fifth; The Puma, my exacta partner, finished fourth.

Before the race: I broke down the 2026 Haskell field, pace setup, contenders, and betting angles in my original preview. This article picks up where that left off — showing how the race actually unfolded, how Baby Vino ended up winning at 28/1, and where the result lined up with (and diverged from) what I wrote beforehand.

2026 Haskell Stakes Finish Order

Official finish order, 2026 Haskell Stakes (Grade 1, $1 million, 1⅛ miles, Monmouth Park).
Finish Horse Morning-Line Odds How My Preview Read It
1stBaby Vino15/1 (went off at 28/1)Won the Pegasus on this same Monmouth surface — the form angle I ultimately bet
2ndNapoleon Solo5/2Preakness winner; projected to share the pace, ended up controlling it alone
3rdIron Honor3/1Called it my top structural value pre-race — ran to that shape
4thThe Puma7/2My exacta partner; already beaten Further Ado head-to-head, but drew into the pace role off a long layoff
5thFurther Ado2/1 (favorite)My top pick; the Kentucky-only win pattern I flagged showed up again
6thStar Sweeper30/1Flagged as a deep, cheap longshot only — ran true to that price
7thOcelli6/1Still winless after ten straight tries against this level
Youtube video

How the Race Actually Played Out

The pace shaped up close to how I read it after Crude Velocity’s scratch: with the field’s most committed pure front-runner gone, Napoleon Solo took over the lead role rather than sharing it with The Puma as I’d projected — Paco Lopez put him on the front end and never let him go, the same trip that won him the Preakness. That left Further Ado and Iron Honor to stalk from behind a pace that held up better than a genuinely uncontested lead usually does.

Further Ado came in as the 2-1 favorite off a real case — the Blue Grass romp, the bounce-back Matt Winn win, his own trainer calling him the best two-turn 3-year-old in the country. But the pattern I flagged in the preview was the honest concern: every win of his career had come in Kentucky, and Cyberknife’s identical path to a Haskell win in 2022 wasn’t enough precedent to overcome it this time. He finished fifth.

The Puma, my value play underneath on the strength of his head-to-head Tampa Bay Derby win over Further Ado, drew into the pace role instead of getting his usual closing trip off a four-month layoff, and finished fourth. Iron Honor — the horse my own key takeaways called “the top structural value” in the field, built around Brown’s patient campaign and a pace that suited his rating style — ran exactly to that shape and finished third.

Baby Vino getting there first wasn’t the shock a 28/1 price suggests, either. He’d already shown he handles the Monmouth dirt specifically, winning the Pegasus Stakes by 10¾ lengths over this same surface three weeks earlier — the exact form angle I flagged in the preview, for reasons that had nothing to do with pace projections.

Watching it live, Baby Vino started making his move before they even hit the far turn — early enough that I thought for a second he’d gone too soon. He didn’t back off, though; he kept getting stronger through the turn, and when he drew up alongside Napoleon Solo, I watched Lopez ask his horse for more. Napoleon Solo answered the call, but Baby Vino was simply too much horse to stay with. The fractions tell part of that story too: a :24 opening quarter and a :48 half-mile created a manageable pace that let the leaders stay involved while giving a horse with a strong finishing kick a real chance to make his move.

Horseman’s Perspective: My published pick was Further Ado on top, and I stand by the analysis that got me there — the class case was real. But on race day, I didn’t bet Further Ado, Napoleon Solo, or Iron Honor at all. Their prices — 2-1, 5/2, and 3-1 — just didn’t leave enough room for error in a seven-horse field with a live pace question, exactly what I’d warned readers about in my own “what to avoid” section. Baby Vino opened at 15/1 on the morning line and drifted all the way out to 28/1 by post time — the market saw a horse worth backing off even more than my own preview did. I saw a horse with a recent double-digit win on this exact surface, real local form, and a sire I was already paying attention to because of my own Vino Rosso gelding, Corked. That drift from 15/1 to 28/1 was a real part of the decision — that’s a lot of extra price for a horse whose form hadn’t changed. I bet him win, place, and show. I also pay attention when a horse earns its way into the conversation through performance rather than reputation or betting attention; Baby Vino did exactly that, and it’s a reminder that dismissing a horse on connections alone gets expensive. Sometimes the published pick and the actual bet aren’t the same horse, and this was one of those days. I’d rather tell you that honestly than pretend my ticket matched my article.

What This Means for the Breeders’ Cup Classic Picture

Baby Vino now has an automatic berth into the Breeders’ Cup Classic field at Keeneland on October 31, regardless of how his fall prep season goes — that’s the value of a “Win and You’re In” race. His Monmouth form is proven; the bigger question is how he handles a different track and a deeper, older field in the fall, and whether that same ability translates against the kind of competition he’ll face in the Classic.

I’d like to see him prove he can win off a more demanding early pace than the honest one he got here, since that’s the kind of trip he won’t always draw against tougher company. Napoleon Solo’s runner-up finish keeps him squarely in the division’s top tier after the Preakness, and Iron Honor’s third continues the pattern of finishing right behind him — first at Laurel, now at Monmouth.

Further Ado’s fifth-place finish raises a real question about whether his form outside Kentucky is a genuine concern rather than a one-off Derby trip, and whether Brad Cox needs to find him a race back on familiar ground before targeting the Classic picture seriously.

FAQs: Haskell Stakes Results 2026

Who won the 2026 Haskell Stakes?

Baby Vino won the 2026 Haskell Stakes at Monmouth Park, going off at 28/1 (up from a 15/1 morning line) under jockey Jorge Vargas Jr. for trainer Lindsay Schultz. The win came with a $1 million purse and a berth in the 2026 Breeders’ Cup Classic.

What was the finish order in the 2026 Haskell Stakes?

1st: Baby Vino, 2nd: Napoleon Solo, 3rd: Iron Honor, 4th: The Puma, 5th: Further Ado, 6th: Star Sweeper, 7th: Ocelli.

Did the Haskell favorite win?

No. Further Ado went off as the 2-1 favorite off a strong Matt Winn Stakes win but finished fifth, extending a pattern where every win of his career has come at Kentucky tracks.

Does the Haskell winner qualify for the Breeders’ Cup?

Yes. The Haskell Stakes is a “Win and You’re In” qualifying race for the Breeders’ Cup Classic, so Baby Vino’s win secures an automatic starting spot at Keeneland on October 31, 2026.

What sire is Baby Vino by?

Baby Vino is by Vino Rosso. The sire connection stood out to me personally because I own a Vino Rosso gelding named Corked, so I was already paying attention to horses from that sire line before the Haskell. He won three weeks after taking the Pegasus Stakes by 10¾ lengths on the same Monmouth Park surface.